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2 Cyclones in Australia
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<blockquote data-quote="Scott Murray" data-source="post: 430433" data-attributes="member: 9753"><p>Thanks mate, yeah watching it closely to see what it does once it enters the GOC and if it intensifies much and if it continues course or swings SW as I think it may, Elcho Island does not need another direct hit as they are still recovering from Cyclone Lam.</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]146252[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"><span style="color: #800000">The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.</span></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"><span style="color: #800000">Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.</span></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"><span style="color: #800000">This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.</span></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">[h=4]Headline:[/h]Cyclone Nathan is expected to impact the east coast of Top End early Sunday morning as a category 2 cyclone.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">[h=4]Areas affected:[/h]<strong><u>Warning zone:</u></strong> Nhulunbuy to Port Roper (Northern Territory), Kowanyama to Aurukun (Queensland).</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"><strong><u>Watch zone:</u></strong> Goulburn Island to Nhulunbuy.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">[h=4]Details of Tropical Cyclone Nathan at 3:30 am CST:[/h]Intensity: category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour. </span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">Location: within 35 kilometres of 14.1 degrees South, 141.4 degrees East , 20 kilometres south southwest of Cape Keerweer and 160 kilometres north northwest of Kowanyama . </span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">Movement: west northwest at 15 kilometres per hour .</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">Tropical cyclone Nathan is currently a weak category 1 system, and is moving westward into the Gulf of Carpentaria near Cape Keerweer.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">Tropical cyclone Nathan will continue to move west across the Gulf of Carpentaria and intensify as it heads towards the east Arnhem land coast.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">[h=4]Hazards:[/h]GALES, with gusts to 90 kilometres per hour, currently extend out to approximately 65 kilometres from the centre of the cyclone, and are expected to continue this morning about western Cape York Peninsula between Aurukun and Kowanyama in Queensland. These conditions will ease as the cyclone moves further away into the Gulf of Carpentaria during Saturday.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">GALES, with gusts to 125 kilometres per hour, are expected to impact Groote Eylandt and possibly extend to coastal and adjacent inland locations between Nhulunbuy and Port Roper in the Northern Territory early Sunday morning. Gales are expected to extend further west along the north coast between Nhulunbuy and Milingimbi later Sunday morning to Sunday afternoon and may extend further west to Goulburn Island overnight on Sunday or early on Monday.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts to 155 kilometres per hour, extending to approximately 150 kilometres from the centre of the cyclone, may impact Groote Eylandt as well as coastal and adjacent inland locations between Nhulunbuy and Port Roper from Sunday morning.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">Heavy rainfall, which may lead to flash flooding, will continue across parts of western Cape York Peninsula this morning and will clear later this morning as the cyclone moves away.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">Heavy rainfall, which may lead to flash flooding, is expected to develop across eastern Arnhem Land as the cyclone approaches overnight Saturday and Sunday morning.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">Tides on the western Cape York Peninsula coast may be above normal this morning, particularly north of the cyclone's track, but are not expected to exceed the highest tide of the year.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">[h=4]Recommended Action:[/h]For Queensland:</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">People in coastal areas between Aurukun and Kowanyama should remain inside until the cyclone has passed and listen to the next advice.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services website (<a href="http://www.disaster.qld.gov.au" target="_blank">www.disaster.qld.gov.au</a>)</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">For Northern Territory:</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">The Territory Controller advises residents from Nhulunbuy to Port Roper including Nhulunbuy, Cape Shield, Groote Eylandt, Numbulwar and Port Roper, that now is the time to make final preparations to your home shelter or identify which public emergency shelter or strong building to use. You should now have your emergency kit complete and ready. DO NOT PROCEED TO PUBLIC EMERGENCY SHELTERS UNTIL ADVISED TO DO SO.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">The Territory Controller advises communities under Watch that now is the time to finalise your emergency kit, clear your yards and balconies, and commence home shelter preparations.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">If you DO NOT have accommodation constructed to the Building Code or are unsure of your present accommodation, you should determine NOW where you will shelter. This may include arranging to shelter with family, friends or in public emergency shelters, or strong buildings, where available in your community.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">This advice is issued to allow you sufficient time in which to take the necessary precautions before winds reach a dangerous level.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">Please ensure that friends, family and neighbours have heard and understood this message, particularly new arrivals to the area.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">Further advice on cyclone emergencies is available at <a href="http://www.securent.nt.gov.au" target="_blank">secureNT</a>.</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"><strong>Details: </strong></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><th> </th><th>Time (CST)</th><th>Intensity Category</th><th>Latitude<br /> (decimal deg.)</th><th>Longitude<br /> (decimal deg.)</th><th>Estimated Position<br /> Accuracy (km)</th></tr><tr><td>0hr</td><td>4 am March 21</td><td>1</td><td>14.1S</td><td>141.4E</td><td>35</td></tr><tr><td>+6hr</td><td>10 am March 21</td><td>1</td><td>14.0S</td><td>140.6E</td><td>50</td></tr><tr><td>+12hr</td><td>4 pm March 21</td><td>1</td><td>13.7S</td><td>139.6E</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>+18hr</td><td>10 pm March 21</td><td>2</td><td>13.4S</td><td>138.7E</td><td>95</td></tr><tr><td>+24hr</td><td>4 am March 22</td><td>2</td><td>13.1S</td><td>137.7E</td><td>120</td></tr><tr><td>+36hr</td><td>4 pm March 22</td><td>1</td><td>12.4S</td><td>136.0E</td><td>155</td></tr><tr><td>+48hr</td><td>4 am March 23</td><td>1</td><td>11.8S</td><td>134.4E</td><td>190</td></tr><tr><td>+60hr</td><td>4 pm March 23</td><td>tropical low</td><td>11.4S</td><td>133.0E</td><td>230</td></tr><tr><td>+72hr</td><td>4 am March 24</td><td>tropical low</td><td>11.4S</td><td>131.7E</td><td>265</td></tr></table><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">Tropical Cyclone information is also available in <a href="http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/meteye/" target="_blank">MetEye</a></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'">[h=4]Next Issue[/h]The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 7:30 am CST Saturday</span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'arial'"></span></span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Scott Murray, post: 430433, member: 9753"] Thanks mate, yeah watching it closely to see what it does once it enters the GOC and if it intensifies much and if it continues course or swings SW as I think it may, Elcho Island does not need another direct hit as they are still recovering from Cyclone Lam. [ATTACH align="left" type="full" width="60%"]146252._xfImport[/ATTACH] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=arial][COLOR=#800000]The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.[/COLOR] [COLOR=#800000]Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.[/COLOR] [COLOR=#800000]This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.[/COLOR] [h=4]Headline:[/h]Cyclone Nathan is expected to impact the east coast of Top End early Sunday morning as a category 2 cyclone. [h=4]Areas affected:[/h][B][U]Warning zone:[/U][/B] Nhulunbuy to Port Roper (Northern Territory), Kowanyama to Aurukun (Queensland). [B][U]Watch zone:[/U][/B] Goulburn Island to Nhulunbuy. [h=4]Details of Tropical Cyclone Nathan at 3:30 am CST:[/h]Intensity: category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour. Location: within 35 kilometres of 14.1 degrees South, 141.4 degrees East , 20 kilometres south southwest of Cape Keerweer and 160 kilometres north northwest of Kowanyama . Movement: west northwest at 15 kilometres per hour . Tropical cyclone Nathan is currently a weak category 1 system, and is moving westward into the Gulf of Carpentaria near Cape Keerweer. Tropical cyclone Nathan will continue to move west across the Gulf of Carpentaria and intensify as it heads towards the east Arnhem land coast. [h=4]Hazards:[/h]GALES, with gusts to 90 kilometres per hour, currently extend out to approximately 65 kilometres from the centre of the cyclone, and are expected to continue this morning about western Cape York Peninsula between Aurukun and Kowanyama in Queensland. These conditions will ease as the cyclone moves further away into the Gulf of Carpentaria during Saturday. GALES, with gusts to 125 kilometres per hour, are expected to impact Groote Eylandt and possibly extend to coastal and adjacent inland locations between Nhulunbuy and Port Roper in the Northern Territory early Sunday morning. Gales are expected to extend further west along the north coast between Nhulunbuy and Milingimbi later Sunday morning to Sunday afternoon and may extend further west to Goulburn Island overnight on Sunday or early on Monday. DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts to 155 kilometres per hour, extending to approximately 150 kilometres from the centre of the cyclone, may impact Groote Eylandt as well as coastal and adjacent inland locations between Nhulunbuy and Port Roper from Sunday morning. Heavy rainfall, which may lead to flash flooding, will continue across parts of western Cape York Peninsula this morning and will clear later this morning as the cyclone moves away. Heavy rainfall, which may lead to flash flooding, is expected to develop across eastern Arnhem Land as the cyclone approaches overnight Saturday and Sunday morning. Tides on the western Cape York Peninsula coast may be above normal this morning, particularly north of the cyclone's track, but are not expected to exceed the highest tide of the year. [h=4]Recommended Action:[/h]For Queensland: People in coastal areas between Aurukun and Kowanyama should remain inside until the cyclone has passed and listen to the next advice. - For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services website ([url]www.disaster.qld.gov.au[/url]) - For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage). For Northern Territory: The Territory Controller advises residents from Nhulunbuy to Port Roper including Nhulunbuy, Cape Shield, Groote Eylandt, Numbulwar and Port Roper, that now is the time to make final preparations to your home shelter or identify which public emergency shelter or strong building to use. You should now have your emergency kit complete and ready. DO NOT PROCEED TO PUBLIC EMERGENCY SHELTERS UNTIL ADVISED TO DO SO. The Territory Controller advises communities under Watch that now is the time to finalise your emergency kit, clear your yards and balconies, and commence home shelter preparations. If you DO NOT have accommodation constructed to the Building Code or are unsure of your present accommodation, you should determine NOW where you will shelter. This may include arranging to shelter with family, friends or in public emergency shelters, or strong buildings, where available in your community. This advice is issued to allow you sufficient time in which to take the necessary precautions before winds reach a dangerous level. Please ensure that friends, family and neighbours have heard and understood this message, particularly new arrivals to the area. Further advice on cyclone emergencies is available at [url=http://www.securent.nt.gov.au]secureNT[/url]. [/FONT][/COLOR] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=arial][B]Details: [/B] [/FONT][/COLOR] [TABLE="width: 660"] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH]Time (CST)[/TH] [TH]Intensity Category[/TH] [TH]Latitude (decimal deg.)[/TH] [TH]Longitude (decimal deg.)[/TH] [TH]Estimated Position Accuracy (km)[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0hr[/TD] [TD]4 am March 21[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]14.1S[/TD] [TD]141.4E[/TD] [TD]35[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]+6hr[/TD] [TD]10 am March 21[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]14.0S[/TD] [TD]140.6E[/TD] [TD]50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]+12hr[/TD] [TD]4 pm March 21[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]13.7S[/TD] [TD]139.6E[/TD] [TD]70[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]+18hr[/TD] [TD]10 pm March 21[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]13.4S[/TD] [TD]138.7E[/TD] [TD]95[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]+24hr[/TD] [TD]4 am March 22[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]13.1S[/TD] [TD]137.7E[/TD] [TD]120[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]+36hr[/TD] [TD]4 pm March 22[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]12.4S[/TD] [TD]136.0E[/TD] [TD]155[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]+48hr[/TD] [TD]4 am March 23[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]11.8S[/TD] [TD]134.4E[/TD] [TD]190[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]+60hr[/TD] [TD]4 pm March 23[/TD] [TD]tropical low[/TD] [TD]11.4S[/TD] [TD]133.0E[/TD] [TD]230[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]+72hr[/TD] [TD]4 am March 24[/TD] [TD]tropical low[/TD] [TD]11.4S[/TD] [TD]131.7E[/TD] [TD]265[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=arial]Tropical Cyclone information is also available in [URL="http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/meteye/"]MetEye[/URL] [/FONT][/COLOR] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=arial] [h=4]Next Issue[/h]The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 7:30 am CST Saturday [/FONT][/COLOR] [/QUOTE]
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